The prediction model updated after a -67% second-weekend drop, which tightened the range. The wider range of $54.1M–$67.8M accounts for 90% of outcomes after the 2nd weekend.
$58.1M
Baseline
Drama Original — 3.00 baseline opening
0%
CinemaScore
A: Drama avg is A
+4%
Audience
Above Avg — RT 92%, IMDB 7.2
+5%
Seasonality
Summer Peak
0%
Sequel
Original
0%
Release Day
Friday (standard)
-13%
2nd Weekend
-67% drop
+11%
Genre
Drama Original legs
Box office performance
Date
Rank
Gross
Daily Chg
Weekly Chg
Total
Theaters
Average
Days
Fri Jul 3
#3
$7.6M
—
$7.6M
2,725
$3K
1
Sat Jul 4
#2
$7.7M
+1%
—
$15.3M
2,725
$3K
2
Sun Jul 5
#3
$4.1M
-47%
—
$19.4M
2,725
$2K
3
Mon Jul 6
#3
$1.8M
-56%
—
$21.2M
2,725
$669
4
Tue Jul 7
#3
$2.4M
+29%
—
$23.5M
2,725
$864
5
Wed Jul 8
#3
$1.7M
-28%
—
$25.2M
2,725
$621
6
Thu Jul 9
#2
$1.4M
-16%
—
$26.7M
2,725
$520
7
Fri Jul 10
#6
$2.1M
+52%
-72%
$28.8M
2,771
$775
8
Sat Jul 11
#5
$2.6M
+21%
-66%
$31.4M
2,771
$938
9
Sun Jul 12
#5
$2.2M
-17%
-47%
$33.6M
2,771
$778
10
Mon Jul 13
#5
$863K
-60%
-53%
$34.4M
2,771
$312
11
Tue Jul 14
#5
$1.2M
+43%
-48%
$35.7M
2,771
$445
12
Weekend
Rank
Gross
Chg
Total
Theaters
Average
Wks
Jul 3-5
3
$19.4M
$19.4M
2,725
$7K
1
Jul 10-12
5
$6.9M
-64%
$33.6M
2,771
$2K
2
Performance Charts
Daily Gross
Cumulative Total
Weekend Gross Trend
Theater Count
Profitability
Return on Budget
Theatrical breakeven point is approx. 2.5x production budget
Domestic vs International Split
Week-over-Week Drop
Weekly Gross Decline (%)
Cast & Crew
Directed byJon Erwin
Written byJon Erwin
Produced byJon Erwin
StarringWilliam Franklyn-Miller, Mary-Louise Parker, Kelsey Grammer, Andy Serkis, Ben Kingsley