Box Office Watch is a site built to make weekend box office results easy to follow. It tracks opening weekends, daily grosses, total box office performance, and how new releases compare to past films — in an easy-to-read, visual format.
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A full list of what the site tracks, and what you can do with it.
Box Office Watch tracks the domestic and worldwide box office for around 3,000 films, updated every day. Coverage is complete from 2000 to today, with a growing library of pre-2000 classics, essential titles and arthouse releases. Everything below is free, and most of it needs no account.
How the forecasts on this site are built — and how we know they work.
Every wide release on this site gets two numbers: what it opened to, and what it will finish at. The first is a fact. The second is a forecast — and it's the hard one, because it has to be made before the legs play out. Here's how that forecast gets built.
Divide a film's total domestic gross by its opening weekend and you get its multiplier — its "legs," or how many times over it earned its debut. Avengers: Endgame, about as front-loaded as blockbusters get, multiplied its opening just 2.4x. A frontloaded horror opener might manage 2.0x and be done. A Christmas family title can run past 6x on holiday tailwinds. The average wide release lands near 2.9x. Nail the multiplier and you've nailed the run — so the entire model exists to predict that one number as accurately as possible.
No single stat predicts legs on its own. A great opening-night grade doesn't guarantee a great hold; a beloved film in the wrong month still fights the calendar. So the model weighs seven factors at once, each one nudging the multiplier up or down from that 2.9x baseline:
Here's the part that's easy to get wrong: these signals overlap. A film with an A+ CinemaScore usually also has strong audience scores and a soft second-weekend drop — because all three are measuring the same underlying thing, that people love it. Add each one at full strength and you pay a good movie three times for a single fact, and your forecast sails past reality.
The model isn't a gut feel with a coat of math on top. It's been backtested against every wide release from 2020 to 2026 — more than 280 films — and rebuilt version over version as the misses revealed where it was double-counting or blind. Anime got split from animation after lumping them cost real accuracy. Horror's harsh CinemaScore curve got its own handling. The holiday corridors got their own math. Each fix came from a film the previous version got wrong.
Every forecast on this site is made in public and left on the record. When a call is right, the weekend recap says so; when it's wrong, the recap says that too, and explains what the model missed. There's no paywall on the reasoning and no black box behind it. The whole point is that you can watch it work — weekend after weekend, film after film — and judge it for yourself.