About Box Office Watch

Box Office Watch tracks the domestic and worldwide box office for more than 4,700 films, updated every day. Coverage is complete from 2000 to today, plus more than 1,400 earlier films going back to 1920: classics, essential titles and arthouse releases. Everything below is free, and most of it needs no account.

Daily, weekend and yearly charts

• Daily box office. The full daily chart with gross, day-over-day change, running total and theater count. Estimates post Friday to Sunday around 12PM ET, and Monday to Thursday around 5PM ET.
• Weekend box office. Every weekend's top 10 and full chart, with weekend-over-weekend drop, cumulative total, theater count and per-theater average. Sunday estimates are replaced by Monday actuals.
• Yearly box office. Year-by-year charts from 2000 to 2026 — the top 50 films of each year with domestic gross, opening weekend, legs multiplier and studio, plus total market gross, year-over-year change, studio market share, $100M club membership and the year's best multiplier.
• Release schedule. Upcoming wide releases by date and month with studio, plus an opening weekend forecast range for the films close enough to call.
• Records. All-time domestic and worldwide leaders, records by rating (G, PG, PG-13, R), opening records (biggest opening weekend, biggest single day, biggest second weekend, biggest animated, horror and rated openings), and velocity and legs records (fastest to $1B worldwide, fastest to each $100M milestone, best multiplier, biggest nth weekend, most weekends at #1). Includes the $2 Billion Club and the $600M Domestic Club, updated weekly.

Movie pages

• Every film gets its own page with opening weekend, domestic total, worldwide total and the international split.
• Legs multiplier, production budget, return on budget and rank within its release year.
• Full weekend-by-weekend and day-by-day tables, with rank, gross, percentage change, running total, theater count and per-theater average.
• Performance charts for daily gross, cumulative total, weekend trend and theater count.
• Critic and audience scores in one row: Rotten Tomatoes critics and audience, Metacritic, Letterboxd, IMDb and CinemaScore.
• A predicted final domestic gross for films still in release, shown against the model's range and the average call from Box Office Watch users.
• Cast and crew link through to each director's, actor's and studio's own page, and films in a series link to their franchise page.
• A Similar Movies row, matched on shared franchise, director and cast first, then genre and era.
• One-click rating on any film once it has opened, and a direct link into the comparison tool.

Directors, actors, studios and franchises

• 862 directors, 2,326 actors, 49 studios and 140 franchises, each with its own page. The Browse directories rank them by lifetime worldwide gross, or A–Z.
• Headline numbers for the whole body of work: lifetime domestic and worldwide, average opening, average legs and return on budget.
• A full filmography you can sort by any column, a film-by-film chart splitting domestic from international, and profitability with the return on every budgeted film.
• Records held on the all-time charts, what's coming next, related news, and a Connected section linking the studios, series and people their films share.
• Compare their films opens the comparison tool with that filmography laid out as posters, so you can pick any two, three or four.
• Follow any name with a free account and get a notification when a new film is added for them, and again on its opening day. Your follows sit in a private Following list on your profile.
• In the Spotlight on the homepage picks six names with films in theaters this week or opening Friday.

Comparisons

• Compare any two, three or four films against each other, from any year on the site.
• Cumulative gross over time, a day-by-day race, weekly grosses Friday to Thursday, week-over-week percentage change and a full daily breakdown by week.
• Featured comparisons covering the current weekend's biggest stories, plus permanent franchise and legacy comparisons — Spider-Man, Harry Potter, Avengers, Lord of the Rings, the Dark Knight trilogy and the all-time top films.
• Featured comparisons where every film has finished its run rank them on final domestic totals instead of a day-by-day race.
• Every comparison has its own shareable link, and ends with four related comparisons to try next.
• Save any comparison with the Save pill under the charts, and it gets its own shelf on your profile at boxofficewatch.com/u/yourname. Saved comparisons reload live rather than as a snapshot, so the numbers are current every time you open one. Needs a free account; the pill only appears when you're signed in.

Predictions

• A final domestic gross forecast for every wide release, built on a multiplier model now in its fourth version. It reads seven signals — audience reception, CinemaScore, second weekend hold, seasonality, genre, sequel status and release-day timing — and re-forecasts after the first, second and third weekends.
• Backtested against more than 280 films from 2020 to 2026, with a median forecast error of roughly 14%.
• Opening weekend forecast ranges on the release schedule for upcoming films.
• Every forecast is published before the result is known and stays on the record. The full methodology is below.

Prediction games

• Predict the Weekend. Call the weekend's top five in order and what each one grosses. Scored out of 100: 50 points for the order (10 for the right film in the right spot, 5 in the wrong spot) and 50 for the numbers (10 points for landing within 5% of the final gross, sliding down from there). A new board opens Monday at 5 PM ET, picks lock Thursday at 11:59PM ET, and scores post with Sunday estimates before being finalised on Monday actuals. Top score wins the week, and your average across weeks sets your all-time rank on the leaderboard.
• Holdovers show last weekend's gross, with a drop slider to set your call from there. Nobody sees anyone's picks until the lock, a complete board locks itself at the deadline, and ties go to whoever locked first.
• Share your picks as an image card once they lock, and your score once it posts. Members can invite friends straight from the game page.
• Predict the Final. One call per new release on the number it finishes its domestic run at, locked in before its first full week is out. Your call sits alongside the model's range and the average call from every other player, and settles when the run ends.
• Predict the Opening Weekend is coming soon.
• Both games are free for any signed-in member. Skill contest, no purchase necessary.

Accounts and profiles

• A free account takes under a minute and needs no card. It unlocks ratings, profiles, both prediction games, saved comparisons and follows.
• Your own public profile at boxofficewatch.com/u/yourname.
• Log and rate any film once it has opened, in half stars, with where you saw it (in theaters or at home) and when.
• Customise it: set a Current Obsession, whose backdrop becomes your profile banner, choose an avatar, and pick five of your five-star films for the Five-Star Wall.
• Your stats: films logged, number of five-star ratings and average rating, plus a running list of everything you've recently logged.
• Your game record: every Predict the Weekend week with your placing and a medal for a podium finish, plus your Predict the Final calls.
• Share any profile as an image card, with its Five-Star Wall or Current Obsession as the art.
• Link your Letterboxd account and it appears on your profile as a link straight to it.
• A notification bell for follow alerts and game reminders, and email settings for the Predict the Weekend reminder (sent 12 hours before picks lock), results and the weekly newsletter.

Analysis and email

• A weekend preview every Wednesday with forecast ranges for the new releases and what's at stake.
• A weekend recap every Sunday and Monday covering what actually happened, film by film.
• Monthly previews looking further ahead at the release calendar.
• A weekly email newsletter carrying the previews and recaps.
• The Wire — a live activity ticker on the homepage, refreshed through the day with milestones, daily numbers and box office news.
• Search every film, director, actor, studio and franchise on the site, from any page.

Where the data comes from

• Box office figures are compiled from multiple public sources including Deadline, The Numbers, Box Office Mojo, studio reports and trade publications.
• Box Office Watch is an independent site, not affiliated with any studio or distributor.
• Spotted an error? The contact form above comes straight to us and corrections get made fast.

Every wide release on this site gets two numbers: what it opened to, and what it will finish at. The first is a fact. The second is a forecast — and it's the hard one, because it has to be made before the legs play out. Here's how that forecast gets built.

It all comes down to the multiplier

Divide a film's total domestic gross by its opening weekend and you get its multiplier — its "legs," or how many times over it earned its debut. Avengers: Endgame, about as front-loaded as blockbusters get, multiplied its opening just 2.4x. A frontloaded horror opener might manage 2.0x and be done. A Christmas family title can run past 6x on holiday tailwinds. The average wide release lands near 2.9x. Nail the multiplier and you've nailed the run — so the entire model exists to predict that one number as accurately as possible.

Seven signals, read together

No single stat predicts legs on its own. A great opening-night grade doesn't guarantee a great hold; a beloved film in the wrong month still fights the calendar. So the model weighs seven factors at once, each one nudging the multiplier up or down from that 2.9x baseline:

Why most forecasts double-count — and this one doesn't

Here's the part that's easy to get wrong: these signals overlap. A film with an A+ CinemaScore usually also has strong audience scores and a soft second-weekend drop — because all three are measuring the same underlying thing, that people love it. Add each one at full strength and you pay a good movie three times for a single fact, and your forecast sails past reality.

It's backtested, not guessed

The model isn't a gut feel with a coat of math on top. It's been backtested against every wide release from 2020 to 2026 — more than 280 films — and rebuilt version over version as the misses revealed where it was double-counting or blind. Anime got split from animation after lumping them cost real accuracy. Horror's harsh CinemaScore curve got its own handling. The holiday corridors got their own math. Each fix came from a film the previous version got wrong.

We publish the record

Every forecast on this site is made in public and left on the record. When a call is right, the weekend recap says so; when it's wrong, the recap says that too, and explains what the model missed. There's no paywall on the reasoning and no black box behind it. The whole point is that you can watch it work — weekend after weekend, film after film — and judge it for yourself.