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The ForgeFollow

2024 • PG-13 • 119 min • Drama, Thriller • Affirm Films

Forged by faith

🍅 82% 90%

72

3.8

7.3

CS A

Box office summary

Opening weekend

$6.70M

3-day opening

Domestic total

$29.10M

Final

Worldwide total

$40.00M

Global total

Budget$5M

Domestic legs4.4x

2024 rank#49

Compare with other movies

Cast & crew

Directed byAlex Kendrick ScreenplayAlex Kendrick, Stephen Kendrick Produced byAaron Burns, Justin Tolley, Stephen Kendrick CinematographyJas Shelton MusicZachary Leffew Prod. DesignN/A StarringCameron Arnett, Priscilla Shirer, Aspen Kennedy, Karen Abercrombie

Predicted final domestic

How the model works

$29M–$31M

$26M $30M $34M

$29.10M so far

The prediction model updated after a -31% second-weekend drop. The wider range of $26M–$34M accounts for 90% of films. Learn more about how the prediction model works

$20M

Baseline

Thriller Original — 3.00 baseline opening

+4%

CinemaScore

A: Thriller avg is A-

+4%

Audience

Strong — RT 90%, LB 3.80, IMDB 7.3

+5%

Seasonality

Summer Peak

0%

Release Day

Friday (standard)

+22%

2nd Weekend

-31% drop

+5%

Genre

Thriller Original legs

The run

WkWeekendRankGrossChgTheatersAvgTotal

1 Aug 23-25 5 $6.7M — 1,818 $3,663 $6.7M

2 Aug 30-Sep 1 7 $4.6M −30.7% 1,921 $2,402 $14.3M

1 Labor Day wknd 6 $6.6M — 1,921 $3,417 $16.3M

3 Sep 6-8 6 $3.0M −34.7% 1,710 $1,761 $20.8M

4 Sep 13-15 9 $2.0M −32.3% 1,614 $1,263 $24.1M

5 Sep 20-22 11 $1.2M −38.9% 1,181 $1,054 $26.3M

6 Sep 27-29 14 $736.5K −40.9% 730 $1,008 $27.6M

7 Oct 4-6 15 $404.7K −45% 510 $793 $28.3M

8 Oct 11-13 20 $209.8K −48.2% 303 $692 $28.7M

9 Oct 18-20 24 $102.2K −51.3% 200 $511 $28.9M

10 Oct 25-27 25 $61.3K −40% 96 $638 $29.0M

11 Nov 1-3 32 $26.0K −57.7% 69 $376 $29.0M

DateRankGrossDailyWeeklyTotalTheatersAvgDay

Fri Aug 23 #5 $2.4M — $2.4M 1,818 $1,336 1

Sat Aug 24 #6 $2.3M −5% $4.7M 1,818 $1,276 2

Sun Aug 25 #4 $1.9M −18% $6.7M 1,818 $1,051 3

Mon Aug 26 #5 $630.6K −67% $7.3M 1,818 $347 4

Tue Aug 27 #5 $1.1M +78% $8.4M 1,818 $617 5

Wed Aug 28 #5 $657.1K −41% $9.1M 1,818 $361 6

Thu Aug 29 #5 $644.5K −2% $9.7M 1,818 $354 7

Fri Aug 30 #8 $1.1M +76% −53% $10.8M 1,921 $589 8

Sat Aug 31 #7 $1.7M +46% −29% $12.5M 1,921 $861 9

Sun Sep 1 #6 $1.8M +11% −4% $14.3M 1,921 $953 10

Mon Sep 2 #5 $1.9M +7% +209% $16.3M 1,921 $1,015 11

Tue Sep 3 #6 $714.5K −63% −36% $17.0M 1,921 $372 12

Wed Sep 4 #6 $444.5K −38% −32% $17.4M 1,921 $231 13

Thu Sep 5 #5 $383.8K −14% −40% $17.8M 1,921 $200 14

Fri Sep 6 #6 $769.4K +100% −32% $18.6M 1,710 $450 15

Sat Sep 7 #6 $1.3M +67% −22% $19.9M 1,710 $750 16

Sun Sep 8 #6 $961.4K −25% −47% $20.8M 1,710 $562 17

Mon Sep 9 #6 $280.1K −71% −86% $21.1M 1,710 $164 18

Tue Sep 10 #6 $435.8K +56% −39% $21.6M 1,710 $255 19

Wed Sep 11 #6 $294.7K −32% −34% $21.8M 1,614 $183 20

Thu Sep 12 #7 $248.9K −16% −35% $22.1M 1,614 $154 21

Fri Sep 13 #9 $529.0K +113% −31% $22.6M 1,614 $328 22

Sat Sep 14 #9 $859.5K +62% −33% $23.5M 1,614 $533 23

Sun Sep 15 #8 $650.2K −24% −32% $24.1M 1,614 $403 24

Mon Sep 16 #10 $210.9K −68% −25% $24.3M 1,614 $131 25

Tue Sep 17 #9 $334.8K +59% −23% $24.7M 1,614 $207 26

Wed Sep 18 #10 $220.4K −34% −25% $24.9M 1,614 $137 27

Thu Sep 19 #10 $172.1K −22% −31% $25.1M 1,614 $107 28

Fri Sep 20 #11 $322.3K +87% −39% $25.4M 1,181 $273 29

Sat Sep 21 #11 $524.4K +63% −39% $25.9M 1,181 $444 30

Sun Sep 22 #10 $398.5K −24% −39% $26.3M 1,181 $337 31

Mon Sep 23 #10 $131.5K −67% −38% $26.4M 1,181 $111 32

Tue Sep 24 #9 $189.8K +44% −43% $26.6M 1,181 $161 33

Wed Sep 25 #10 $127.5K −33% −42% $26.8M 1,181 $108 34

Thu Sep 26 #10 $91.4K −28% −47% $26.9M 1,181 $77 35

Fri Sep 27 #17 $168.0K +84% −48% $27.0M 730 $230 36

Sat Sep 28 #14 $325.2K +94% −38% $27.3M 730 $445 37

Sun Sep 29 #13 $243.3K −25% −39% $27.6M 730 $333 38

Mon Sep 30 #14 $71.5K −71% −46% $27.7M 730 $98 39

Tue Oct 1 #14 $87.4K +22% −54% $27.8M 730 $120 40

Wed Oct 2 #15 $70.1K −20% −45% $27.8M 730 $96 41

Thu Oct 3 #13 $56.4K −20% −38% $27.9M 730 $77 42

Fri Oct 4 #17 $99.7K +77% −41% $28.0M 510 $195 43

Sat Oct 5 #13 $184.7K +85% −43% $28.2M 510 $362 44

Sun Oct 6 #14 $120.4K −35% −51% $28.3M 510 $236 45

Mon Oct 7 #14 $40.9K −66% −43% $28.3M 510 $80 46

Tue Oct 8 #12 $56.5K +38% −35% $28.4M 510 $111 47

Wed Oct 9 #12 $44.2K −22% −37% $28.4M 510 $87 48

Thu Oct 10 #13 $34.3K −22% −39% $28.5M 510 $67 49

Fri Oct 11 #21 $58.5K +71% −41% $28.5M 303 $193 50

Sat Oct 12 #18 $86.8K +48% −53% $28.6M 303 $287 51

Sun Oct 13 #19 $64.5K −26% −46% $28.7M 303 $213 52

Mon Oct 14 #18 $43.6K −32% +7% $28.7M 303 $144 53

Tue Oct 15 #20 $27.3K −37% −52% $28.7M 303 $90 54

Wed Oct 16 #18 $28.8K +5% −35% $28.8M 303 $95 55

Thu Oct 17 #21 $17.6K −39% −48% $28.8M 303 $58 56

Fri Oct 18 #24 $27.6K +56% −53% $28.8M 200 $138 57

Sat Oct 19 #24 $45.3K +64% −48% $28.9M 200 $226 58

Sun Oct 20 #25 $29.4K −35% −54% $28.9M 200 $147 59

Mon Oct 21 #27 $10.4K −65% −76% $28.9M 200 $52 60

Tue Oct 22 #26 $14.3K +38% −48% $28.9M 200 $71 61

Wed Oct 23 #24 $14.4K +1% −50% $28.9M 200 $72 62

Thu Oct 24 #23 $10.0K −30% −43% $28.9M 200 $50 63

Fri Oct 25 #27 $12.5K +25% −55% $28.9M 96 $130 64

Sat Oct 26 #23 $32.9K +163% −27% $29.0M 96 $342 65

Sun Oct 27 #27 $15.9K −52% −46% $29.0M 96 $166 66

Mon Oct 28 #31 $3.6K −78% −66% $29.0M 96 $37 67

Tue Oct 29 #31 $4.2K +17% −71% $29.0M 96 $44 68

Wed Oct 30 #26 $7.0K +68% −51% $29.0M 96 $73 69

Thu Oct 31 #30 $3.4K −52% −66% $29.0M 96 $36 70

Fri Nov 1 #32 $5.3K +56% −57% $29.0M 69 $77 71

Sat Nov 2 #31 $10.9K +104% −67% $29.0M 69 $158 72

Sun Nov 3 #31 $9.8K −10% −39% $29.0M 69 $141 73

Mon Nov 4 #30 $2.5K −75% −31% $29.0M 69 $36 74

Tue Nov 5 #31 $3.2K +31% −22% $29.0M 69 $47 75

Wed Nov 6 #31 $2.7K −17% −62% $29.1M 69 $39 76

Thu Nov 7 #31 $2.6K −3% −24% $29.1M 69 $38 77

Fri Nov 8 #35 $3.3K +25% −39% $29.1M 26 $126 78

Sat Nov 9 #35 $3.9K +20% −64% $29.1M 26 $151 79

Sun Nov 10 #34 $4.0K +2% −59% $29.1M 26 $154 80

Mon Nov 11 #38 $917 −77% −63% $29.1M 26 $35 81

Tue Nov 12 #35 $1.8K +94% −45% $29.1M 26 $69 82

Wed Nov 13 #39 $746 −58% −72% $29.1M 26 $29 83

Thu Nov 14 #38 $452 −39% −83% $29.1M 26 $17 84

Fri Nov 15 #21 $17.6K +3785% +438% $29.1M 28 $627 85

Sat Nov 16 #24 $19.9K +14% +409% $29.1M 28 $712 86

Sun Nov 17 #29 $3.4K −83% −15% $29.1M 28 $121 87

Mon Nov 18 #32 $482 −86% −47% $29.1M 28 $17 88

Tue Nov 19 #38 $148 −69% −92% $29.1M 28 $5 89

Wed Nov 20 #36 $263 +78% −65% $29.1M 28 $9 90

Thu Nov 21 #37 $140 −47% −69% $29.1M 28 $5 91

Fri Nov 22 #18 $5.4K +3749% −69% $29.1M 12 $449 92

Sat Nov 23 #18 $6.9K +28% −65% $29.1M 12 $577 93

Sun Nov 24 #29 $497 −93% −85% $29.1M 12 $41 94

Mon Nov 25 #30 $59 −88% −88% $29.1M 12 $5 95

Tue Nov 26 #26 $173 +193% +17% $29.1M 12 $14 96

Wed Nov 27 #31 $80 −54% −70% $29.1M 12 $7 97

Thu Nov 28 #29 $41 −49% −71% $29.1M 12 $3 98

Charts show the first 10 weeks · the run above is the full record

Cumulative total$29.0M

Aug 23Sep 9Sep 27Oct 14Oct 31

Weekend grossWk 10 · $61.3K

$6.7M

$4.6M

$6.6M

$3.0M

$2.0M

$1.2M

$736.5K

$404.7K

$209.8K

$102.2K

$61.3K

W1W2W1W3W4W5W6W7W8W9W10

Theater countPeak 1,921 → 96 −95.0%

1,818 open96 now

Weekend-over-weekend dropWk 10 · −40%

−30.7%

W1→2

−34.7%

W1→3

−32.3%

W3→4

−38.9%

W4→5

−40.9%

W5→6

−45%

W6→7

−48.2%

W7→8

−51.3%

W8→9

−40%

W9→10

Steepest −51.3%Best hold −30.7%

Profitability

Return on Budget

Theatrical breakeven point is approx. 2.5x production budget

Domestic vs International Split

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